Projects

Building financial resilience through sovereign parametric insurance in the Pacific

We supported the Pacific Catastrophe Risk Insurance Company to design a sovereign parametric insurance product for excess rainfall events, strengthening financial resilience across 14 Pacific Island Countries. The product uses advanced rainfall modelling to trigger rapid post-disaster funding and support economic stability.

Panoramic view of a tropical island coastline with dense green forest, palm trees, calm blue sea and scattered white clouds under a bright sky.

Building financial resilience in disaster-prone nations

The Pacific Island Countries (PICs) are highly exposed to natural hazards including tropical cyclones, earthquakes, intense rainfall, and meteorological drought. Their size means that extreme events often impact the whole country, with severe consequences for national economies. To strengthen financial resilience, the Pacific Catastrophe Risk Insurance Company (PCRIC) contracted JBA to support the design of a sovereign-level parametric insurance product for excess rainfall (XSR) events.

Combining data and modelling to build resilience

JBA developed a robust technical foundation for PCRIC’s new insurance offering by:

  • Developing a method to quantify the frequency and intensity of rainfall events.
  • Analysing historical excess rainfall events, both tropical and non-tropical.
  • Creating a new exposure data set for the islands.
  • Conducting country-level risk assessments to inform premium calculations and reinsurance purchase.
  • Designing a transparent post-event loss and impact calculation methodology to trigger insurance payouts.

Given the remoteness and diversity of the islands, and the lack of significant river networks, we created a new stochastic event set from high-resolution satellite rainfall data, for use in our Global Flood Models. Rainfall totals observed over 24 hours are compared against island-specific thresholds derived from our probabilistic flood model, which incorporates both population and property exposure to estimate likely emergency costs. Outputs are displayed through a bespoke web-based monitoring system developed by our software team.

Example output from PCRIC’s rainfall monitoring tool. Rainfall is measured across the 10km-by-10km calculation grid (black squares). Red grid cells indicate where daily rainfall has exceeded the 5-year return period rainfall for that cell.

Example output from PCRIC’s rainfall monitoring tool. Rainfall is measured across the 10km-by-10km calculation grid (black squares). Red grid cells indicate where daily rainfall has exceeded the 5-year return period rainfall for that cell.

Delivering rapid support for recovery

The project enabled PCRIC to launch its excess rainfall insurance ahead of the 2023/24 South Pacific Tropical Cyclone season, now available to all 14 countries in its portfolio. The product provides governments with reliable financial support, with payouts made within 15 working days of a qualifying event. This rapid funding helps countries meet urgent recovery needs without undermining fiscal stability or development progress. The approach also allows cumulative assessment of multiple events across a season, ensuring sustained support in years of heightened rainfall activity.

Location:

Cook Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu 

Client:

Pacific Catastrophe Risk Insurance Company 

Expertise:

Hazard and risk modelling
Disaster risk financing and parametric insurance

Delivered By:

JBA Risk Management
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